Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.029226 1.164742 1.312421 1.485467 1.682895 1.901363 2.161782
2026-02-01 0.794984 0.973323 1.184362 1.453223 1.787669 2.191333 2.717504
2026-02-08 0.661637 0.854579 1.096105 1.422041 1.852552 2.404699 3.171302
2026-02-15 0.584446 0.788472 1.055870 1.434197 1.959308 2.667659 3.704508
2026-02-22 0.519626 0.727552 1.010969 1.428604 2.033648 2.886408 4.193628
2026-03-01 0.463895 0.671111 0.963513 1.410207 2.082512 3.067967 4.642643
2026-03-08 0.409039 0.609162 0.900381 1.359814 2.075324 3.161755 4.964162
2026-03-15 0.374428 0.573013 0.870482 1.354255 2.132472 3.354436 5.455708
2026-03-22 0.360093 0.565853 0.882879 1.413996 2.295931 3.727227 6.277238
2026-03-29 0.333348 0.536395 0.857255 1.409361 2.352830 3.930502 6.833442
2026-04-05 0.314705 0.518073 0.847362 1.428799 2.450392 4.209118 7.548672
2026-04-12 0.290972 0.489105 0.817164 1.410357 2.479671 4.370757 8.068139
2026-04-19 0.265140 0.456504 0.781608 1.385810 2.507793 4.555037 8.696525
2026-04-26 0.240470 0.424033 0.743979 1.355140 2.524366 4.726027 9.336050
2026-05-03 0.219146 0.395238 0.709691 1.326199 2.539567 4.894027 9.989547
2026-05-10 0.205868 0.379693 0.697669 1.337487 2.632967 5.223736 11.020494
2026-05-17 0.191830 0.361303 0.678414 1.332293 2.692203 5.490677 11.953676
2026-05-24 0.177798 0.341561 0.654602 1.315208 2.724502 5.704589 12.798500
2026-05-31 0.161827 0.316559 0.618186 1.268402 2.688438 5.767723 13.306488
2026-06-07 0.151880 0.302654 0.602523 1.263239 2.741471 6.031284 14.323207
2026-06-14 0.148846 0.302497 0.614673 1.318727 2.935090 6.633841 16.252808
2026-06-21 0.140308 0.290127 0.600302 1.314422 2.991857 6.926595 17.449187
2026-06-28 0.134449 0.282903 0.596134 1.332474 3.102668 7.360713 19.076706